Sunday Science: Landmark Ancient-Genome Study Shows Surprise Acceleration of Human Evolution

https://portside.org/2026-04-19/sunday-science-landmark-ancient-genome-study-shows-surprise-acceleration-human-evolution
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Author: Ewen Callaway
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Nature

The biggest ever study of ancient human DNA shows that human evolution has accelerated over the past 10,000 years.

Researchers identified hundreds of gene variants that evolved through natural selection in ancient people from western Eurasia — Europe and the Middle East — after the dawn of agriculture. Changes to these genes had widespread ramifications for the health of present-day populations.

“We are seeing dramatic changes,” says David Reich, a population geneticist at Harvard Medical School in Boston, Massachusetts, who co-led the 15 April Nature study1. However, some researchers remain unconvinced by the scale of the findings and results that show natural selection has affected gene variants underlying highly complex traits, such as mental illness and cognition.

Adapting to agriculture

Homo sapiens emerged in Africa around 200,000 to 300,000 years ago, before expanding to nearly every corner of the planet. The advent of farming introduced new foods, pathogens and other challenges, as people began living in larger groups and in closer proximity to animals.

Humans clearly adapted to these upheavals. But genomic studies of present-day and ancient people have uncovered only a smattering of genetic signs of natural selection, particularly for advantageous genes that have surged to high frequency, or ones that have proved to be harmful and become less common.

The best‑known example of such ‘directional selection’ is a genetic variant that maintains production of the lactose enzyme into adulthood, which enables many people of European ancestry to digest milk throughout their lives.

To supercharge the search, Reich, Ali Akbari, a computational geneticist at Harvard Medical School, and their colleagues amassed the largest-ever collection of genomic data from ancient humans — from a total of 15,836 individuals from western Eurasia — including more than 10,000 newly sequenced genomes.

Efforts to identify gene variants that became more or less common owing to directional selection can be thwarted by random fluctuations, known as genetic drift, and population shifts that can drastically alter the genetic make-up of regions’ inhabitants, such as the replacement of European hunter-gatherers by farmers from the Middle East.

To overcome this, Akbari and Reich’s team first looked for genetic variants that consistently appeared more or less frequently in different groups living at different times. They then discounted changes that could be explained by forces other than selection, identifying 479 variants that showed strong signs of directional selection.

These changes paint a picture of populations whose biology was in flux, as hunter-gatherer lifestyles gave way to farming across Europe. The study also found that evolution accelerated during the Bronze Age, which began around 5,000 years ago, possibly reflecting an intensification of lifestyle changes that started in the Neolithic period starting around 10,000 years ago, says Reich. “This is an economically and culturally transformative time.”

Immunity genes

The method that Akbari and Reich’s team developed was designed to spot consistent changes in a gene variant’s frequency in a population, either increasing or decreasing. But the frequency of two-thirds of the variants that they identified moved more like rollercoasters. A gene variant linked to the heightened risk of developing multiple sclerosis, which had been identified in a previous study2, shot up in frequency about 6,000 years ago. The latest study suggests that the variant has become less common in some European groups in the past 2,000 years.

Genes involved in immunity are among the most common targets for directional selection. A variant linked to tuberculosis susceptibility became less common in the past 3,000 years, confirming another previous result3. But before this, it shot up in frequency, possibly owing to the emergence of other pathogens. A variant that confers HIV resistance in modern humans became more common between 6,000 and 2,000 years ago, possibly because it also protected against plague-causing bacteria.

Evolution has also shaped the appearance of Europeans. Akbari and Reich’s team found ten variants linked to lighter skin tone that had signals of selection. A cause of male pattern baldness became much less common over the past 7,000 years, contributing to an estimated 1–2% decrease in the prevalence of baldness.

The team then examined how natural selection might have influenced complex traits that are linked to large numbers of variants. They did this by tracking ancient frequency shifts of variants that have been identified in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of modern humans.

This analysis found that over the past 10,000 years, combinations of variants linked to a heightened risk of type 2 diabetes, bipolar disorder and schizophrenia in modern populations tended to decline in ancient individuals from Europe and the Middle East. However, combinations that are linked to years of schooling, household income and intelligence test scores all tended to increase over the past 10,000 years.

The results do not mean that mental illness was more common in the past, Reich and Akbari emphasize, or that ancient western Eurasians got more intelligent (or richer) over time. The environmental stresses of the twenty-first century are different from those in the past.

“It’s very hard to guess what the biology underlying the statistical signal is,” says Shamil Sunyaev, a population geneticist at Harvard Medical School. By contrast, many of the individual variants that showed signs of directional selection seem biologically plausible and consistent with previous work. “If I were to bet money, I would bet that those results will probably stand up to scrutiny,” adds Sunyaev.

Mixed signals

The study is “a major advance on what’s been done before both in terms of data and methodology”, says Iain Mathieson, an evolutionary geneticist at the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia. He is swayed by the evidence of widespread natural selection on individual gene variants over the past 10,000 years, but is less convinced by the conclusions about selection on complex traits. These results depend on GWAS, which can reflect environmental differences specific to a certain population.

Evolutionary geneticist Arbel Harpak at the University of Texas at Austin says that some of strongest examples of directional selection are likely to be correct and have been highlighted by other research. But he questions whether the Nature study fully accounts for changes in ancestry over time, which could be mistaken for natural selection in some cases.

“The study is best viewed as offering amazing data and provocative hypotheses that will require much further scrutiny, rather than a settled account of recent adaptation in Eurasia,” Harpak adds.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-01204-5

References

  1. Akbari, A. et al. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10358-1 (2026).

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  2. Barrie, W. et al. Nature 625, 321–328 (2024).

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  3. Kerner, G. et al. Am. J. Hum. Genet. 108, 517–524 (2021).

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Ewen Callaway is a senior reporter at Nature magazine, specializing in covering biology, medicine, and science policy. Based in the UK, he is known for reporting on topics such as COVID-19 evolution, CRISPR technology, human evolution, and genetics. He has published extensive work on the coronavirus pandemic and scientific advancements like AI protein-folding.

Nature Portfolio is here to serve the research community by publishing its most significant discoveries—findings that advance knowledge and address some of the greatest challenges that we face as a society today. Our journals publish not only primary research but also reviews, critical comment, news and analysis.

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