Flávio Bolsonaro of the state of Rio de Janeiro, the eldest son of Lula's predecessor Jair Bolsonaro, led with 47% of the vote over incumbent president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's 45%. They will face each other in a runoff on 25 October 2026.
An electoral turnaround in the second round of Brazil’s presidential election is possible, however difficult.
Brazil’s presidential election is on a knife-edge. Right-winger Flávio Bolsonaro has powerful interests on his side but is also counting on the Trump administration’s help to push him over the line.
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Scientists emphasized that while the reduction in deforestation represents meaningful progress, the current pace of destruction remains environmentally dangerous if sustained over the long term.
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