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Initial Analysis of 2020 Exit Polls

Bob Wing Organizing Upgrade
Here are the highlights of a preliminary analysis of the only national exit poll for the 2020 Elections, available on all major news and political websites.

The Other Swing Voter

Ibram X. Kendi The Atlantic
No one’s paying much attention to one chunk of the electorate that could prove decisive in 2020. To recognize the other swing voter is to decenter the white moderate in the body politic—where she and especially he has been positioned.

The End of the Voter-Consumer

Jesse A. Myerson The New Republic
The work of organizing a politically legible coalition of nonvoters is functionally the same as what’s needed for the left to win elections.

Democrats’ Turnout in Georgia Blew Past Typical Off-Year Levels

Nate Cohn New York Times
The battle for control of the House will be fought in large part in Republican-leaning districts like Georgia’s Sixth, and a strong Democratic turnout alone probably won’t be enough to win a high-turnout election. The Democrats must face the additional challenge of mobilizing young, nonwhite and especially Black voters. The race suggests that Democrats will probably be disappointed if they hope to increase the Black share of the electorate with traditional mobilization.

Are Demographics Really Destiny for the GOP?

Ronald Brownstein The Atlantic
A new analysis of the 2016 electorate offers warning signs to Republicans, whose base continues to shrink. (There are red lights flashing Democrats' way, too.)
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