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Waiting for the Supply Shock

David Dayen The American Prospect
It’s coming, and we know approximately when. The economy contracted by 0.3 percent, and imports have contracted. Tariffs of 145 percent on China are a trade embargo for many sectors. China’s retaliatory measures are an embargo in the other direction.

The Fed Should Pause Interest Rate Rises as US Inflation Slows

Joseph Stiglitz and Dean Baker The Guardian
It would be irresponsible to create much higher unemployment – and the US economy could be pushed into recession. There is a strong argument for the Fed to take a break from its aggressive monetary-policy tightening.

What the Bronx ‘Bible Belt’ Election Results Tell Us

Ginia Bellafante The New York Times
Will older, socially conservative voters care so much about culture-war issues in the midst of a pandemic? This Bronx election suggests political patterns might evolve more broadly among older voters in places like Florida and the Sun Belt.
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